Ticket #6787 · VALUE
win chance 67.1%
fair 1.49x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Llanelli AFC v Pontardawe Town
Fri 06 Nov 21:30 · FAW Championship
|
Either team wins | 84.0% | 1.19x | upgrade |
|
OSC Bremerhaven v Vatan Sport
Fri 06 Nov 20:00 · Oberliga - Bremen
|
Home or Draw | 91.6% | 1.09x | upgrade |
|
GAP Connah S Quay FC v Flint Town United
Fri 06 Nov 22:00 · Premier League
|
Home or Draw | 87.2% | 1.15x | upgrade |
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EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).