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Oberliga - Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven vs Vatan Sport
Fri 06 Nov 20:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 94.6%
why
• league PROVEN (82.1%, n=28)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
league track
proven · 82.1% of 28 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.4%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2528)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
94.6%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (94.6%)
@ 06 Nov 18:04
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
86.2%
Draw
5.4%
Away win
8.4%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:04
scoring fit λ 3.54 / μ 0.98
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 241 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
8.4%
|
11.89x | 64.7% n=241 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
5.4%
|
18.54x | 64.7% n=241 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
86.2%
|
1.16x | 64.7% n=241 | solid | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — OSC Bremerhav… 8W / 3D / 0L
· momentum OSC Bremerh… 2.17 ppg vs Vatan Sport 1.17 ppg
OSC Bremerhaven · last 6
06 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
1-1
D
30 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
5-0
W
24 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
0-3
W
16 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
4-0
W
11 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
3-0
L
25 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
4-1
W
Vatan Sport · last 6
06 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
1-1
D
01 Nov · Oberliga - Bremen
3-4
L
25 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
2-3
W
17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
0-6
L
10 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen
1-2
W
27 Sep · Oberliga - Bremen
0-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven 1-1 Vatan Sport
12 Apr 26 · Oberliga - Bremen
Vatan Sport 1-3 OSC Bremerhaven
17 Oct 25 · Oberliga - Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven 4-2 Vatan Sport
12 Apr 25 · Oberliga - Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven 4-3 Vatan Sport
03 Nov 24 · Oberliga - Bremen
Vatan Sport 5-5 OSC Bremerhaven
Tickets including this match