Ticket #6409 · TREBLE · risk HIGH
win chance 73.2%
fair 1.37x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dreams v Debibi United
Sun 08 Nov 17:30 · Premier League
|
DNB H | 88.8% | 1.13x | upgrade |
|
Eiche Horn v Geestemünde
Sun 08 Nov 14:30 · Oberliga - Bremen
|
Either team wins | 90.0% | 1.11x | upgrade |
|
AEK Athens FC v Levadiakos
Sun 08 Nov 17:00 · Super League 1
|
Home or Draw | 91.6% | 1.09x | upgrade |
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EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).
How the engine chose it: treble joint p=0.732 (3-leg same-day trebles, joint .70-.85: 80.3% win, n=539, 90d sim) | risk HIGH: one or more legs carries no bookmaker price | EV needs bookmaker prices; none available for this ticket.