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Premier League

Dreams vs Debibi United

Sun 08 Nov 17:30 0 minutes final 1–1 · 0 won · 1 lost
De
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 77.9%
why
• league SUSPENDED (67.7%, n=31)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
• league's published legs underperform
league track
None · 67.7% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.1%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 13/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.8% (n=938)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
77.9%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (77.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:27
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
68.5%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
9.4%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 2.12 / μ 0.70
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
9.4%
10.66x 67.7% n=31 risky lost
Draw
22.1%
4.53x 67.7% n=31 risky won
top Home win
68.5%
1.46x 67.7% n=31 lean lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Dreams 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Dreams 1.0 ppg vs Debibi Unit… 1.17 ppg
Dreams · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League 1-1 D
01 Nov · Premier League 0-1 W
25 Oct · Premier League 1-3 L
18 Oct · Premier League 1-1 D
11 Oct · Premier League 1-0 L
03 Oct · Premier League 0-0 D
Debibi United · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League 1-1 D
01 Nov · Premier League 1-0 W
25 Oct · Premier League 3-0 L
18 Oct · Premier League 1-0 W
11 Oct · Premier League 3-0 L
04 Oct · Premier League 0-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Premier League Dreams 1-1 Debibi United
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 79.1% VOID TREBLE win chance 71.8% VOID TREBLE win chance 73.2% VOID TREBLE win chance 71.1% VOID