Ticket #6289 · SURESHOT
win chance 77.4%
fair 1.29x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Watford v Middlesbrough
Sat 07 Nov 17:00 · Championship
|
Draw or Away | 86.9% | 1.15x | upgrade |
|
Sūduva Marijampolė v Džiugas Telšiai
Sat 07 Nov 14:15 · A Lyga
|
Home or Draw | 89.0% | 1.12x | upgrade |
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EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).