Ticket #7059 · SURESHOT · risk LOW
win chance 92.5%
fair 1.08x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aurora v Universitario de Vinto
Tomorrow 02:30 · Primera División
|
Home or Draw | 92.5% | 1.08x | upgrade |
PAID shows bookmaker odds, edges and every value ticket.
Upgrade
EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).
How the engine chose it: single p=0.925 (DC/DNB/FTR cp>=.90: 90.8% win, n=130, 90d) | risk LOW: all legs priced and fresh; matches anchored | EV +0.031 means: staking 1 unit at odds 1.12 returns 0.03 units of expected profit per ticket (0.92 chance to win fair 1.08).