Ticket #6877 · SURESHOT · risk LOW
win chance 96.2%
fair 1.04x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes
Sat 07 Nov 21:45 · Ligue 1
|
Home or Draw | 96.2% | 1.04x | upgrade |
PAID shows bookmaker odds, edges and every value ticket.
Upgrade
EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).
How the engine chose it: single p=0.962 (DC/DNB/FTR cp>=.90: 90.8% win, n=130, 90d) | risk LOW: all legs priced and fresh; matches anchored | EV +0.024 means: staking 1 unit at odds 1.06 returns 0.02 units of expected profit per ticket (0.96 chance to win fair 1.04).