Ticket #6511 · SURESHOT · risk LOW
win chance 91.3%
fair 1.10x
Legs
| match | what you're picking | chance | fair | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Saint-Étienne v Laval
Fri 06 Nov 21:00 · Ligue 2
|
Home or Draw | 91.3% | 1.10x | upgrade |
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EV & risk, decoded
EV — expected value: your expected profit per 1 unit staked at the current bookmaker price, given the calibrated probability. EV 0.12 = 12% expected return per ticket. Negative EV bets are never published.
win chance — the engine's chance this ticket WINS; fair odds = 1÷that probability. Book price above fair ⇒ positive EV.
Risk label — LOW = all legs priced & fresh, matches anchored to real odds; MED = mid-band probability or stale quotes; HIGH = unpriced leg included (tickets never ship in that state).
How the engine chose it: single p=0.913 (DC/DNB/FTR cp>=.90: 90.8% win, n=130, 90d) | risk LOW: all legs priced and fresh; matches anchored | EV +0.031 means: staking 1 unit at odds 1.13 returns 0.03 units of expected profit per ticket (0.91 chance to win fair 1.10).