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Bundesliga

Rapid Wien vs Wolfsberger AC

Fri 06 Nov 20:30 0 minutes final 6–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Home or Draw · 87.7%
book 1.12x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (73.7%, n=19)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
• short price 1.12x
• priced 1.12x needs 89% to break even
league track
ok · 73.7% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 51.2%)
draws 20.0% of matches
team history 29/23 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.0% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (87.7%)
@ 06 Nov 18:05 · 1.12x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
70.1%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
12.3%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:05
scoring fit λ 2.29 / μ 0.84
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 02 Nov · 282 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
12.3%
8.12x 46.1% n=282 risky lost
Draw
17.6%
5.69x 46.1% n=282 risky lost
top Home win
70.1%
1.43x 46.1% n=282 solid won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 13 meetings — Rapid Wien 7W / 2D / 4L · momentum Rapid Wien 3.0 ppg vs Wolfsberger… 0.17 ppg
Rapid Wien · last 6
06 Nov · Bundesliga 6-0 W
01 Nov · Bundesliga 0-2 W
27 Oct · Cup 0-3 W
24 Oct · Bundesliga 5-1 W
16 Oct · Bundesliga 3-1 W
11 Oct · Bundesliga 0-2 W
Wolfsberger AC · last 6
06 Nov · Bundesliga 6-0 L
01 Nov · Bundesliga 1-1 D
27 Oct · Cup 1-0 L
25 Oct · Bundesliga 1-0 L
18 Oct · Bundesliga 0-2 L
11 Oct · Bundesliga 3-0 L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Bundesliga Rapid Wien 6-0 Wolfsberger AC
12 Sep 26 · Bundesliga Wolfsberger AC 0-3 Rapid Wien
21 Feb 26 · Bundesliga Rapid Wien 2-0 Wolfsberger AC
24 Aug 25 · Bundesliga Wolfsberger AC 1-2 Rapid Wien
04 May 25 · Bundesliga Rapid Wien 0-1 Wolfsberger AC
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 77.3% WON VALUE win chance 75.5% WON VALUE win chance 75.5% VOID VALUE win chance 78.2% LOST VALUE win chance 75.3% LOST VALUE win chance 75.3% VOID