Ne
HOME
Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa Women vs Atlas Women
Thu 05 Nov 01:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 0 won · 1 lostAt
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 85.9%
book 1.28x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (80.5%, n=41)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.28x
league track
proven · 80.5% of 41 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (85.9%)
@ 06 Nov 00:15 · 1.28x
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
12.0%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
73.9%
calibrated 06 Nov 00:15
scoring fit λ 1.00 / μ 2.70
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 298 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
73.9%
|
1.35x | 69.5% n=298 | solid | lost |
| Draw |
14.1%
|
7.11x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | won |
| Home win |
12.0%
|
8.31x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Necaxa Women 0W / 2D / 10L
· momentum Necaxa Women 0.17 ppg vs Atlas Women 1.33 ppg
Necaxa Women · last 6
06 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
01 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
1-3
L
25 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
5-0
L
18 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
7-0
L
04 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-2
L
29 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
0-4
L
Atlas Women · last 6
06 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
31 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-7
L
27 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
2-1
W
23 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
18 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-0
L
26 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa Women 1-1 Atlas Women
28 Mar 26 · Liga MX Femenil
Atlas Women 3-2 Necaxa Women
21 Sep 25 · Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa Women 0-1 Atlas Women
12 Feb 25 · Liga MX Femenil
Atlas Women 4-1 Necaxa Women
27 Aug 24 · Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa Women 0-1 Atlas Women