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Ligat Ha'al

Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem

Sat 07 Nov 20:00 0 minutes final 1–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 90.1%
book 1.15x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (77.8%, n=27)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
• short price 1.15x
league track
proven · 77.8% of 27 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.2%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 17/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.1%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (90.1%)
@ 07 Nov 17:56 · 1.15x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
9.9%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
74.1%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:56
scoring fit λ 0.73 / μ 2.37
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 240 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
74.1%
1.35x 53.3% n=240 solid lost
Draw
16.1%
6.23x 53.3% n=240 risky won
Home win
9.9%
10.14x 53.3% n=240 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 7 meetings — Ironi Tiberias 1W / 3D / 3L · momentum Ironi Tiber… 0.5 ppg vs Beitar Jeru… 2.0 ppg
Ironi Tiberias · last 6
07 Nov · Ligat Ha'al 1-1 D
31 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 1-1 D
24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 1-1 D
17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 1-0 L
10 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 0-2 L
19 Sep · Ligat Ha'al 3-2 L
Beitar Jerusalem · last 6
07 Nov · Ligat Ha'al 1-1 D
31 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 1-1 D
24 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 0-1 W
17 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 0-0 D
11 Oct · Ligat Ha'al 0-4 W
19 Sep · Ligat Ha'al 2-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Ligat Ha'al Ironi Tiberias 1-1 Beitar Jerusalem
04 Apr 26 · Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 Ironi Tiberias
27 Dec 25 · State Cup Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem
03 Dec 25 · Ligat Ha'al Ironi Tiberias 0-5 Beitar Jerusalem
23 Dec 24 · Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi Tiberias
Tickets including this match
TREBLE win chance 71.0% VOID TREBLE win chance 78.2% VOID TREBLE win chance 78.2% VOID