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Eliteserien

Rosenborg BK vs Start

Sat 07 Nov 19:00 0 minutes final 4–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 90.6%
book 1.17x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (73.8%, n=42)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
• short price 1.17x
league track
proven · 73.8% of 42 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 58.9%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 21/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.6%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (90.6%)
@ 07 Nov 17:56 · 1.17x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
80.4%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
10.2%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:56
scoring fit λ 2.65 / μ 0.73
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 227 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
10.2%
9.85x 57.3% n=227 risky lost
Draw
9.4%
10.63x 57.3% n=227 risky lost
top Home win
80.4%
1.24x 57.3% n=227 solid won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Rosenborg BK 4W / 1D / 0L · momentum Rosenborg BK 2.17 ppg vs Start 1.0 ppg
Rosenborg BK · last 6
07 Nov · Eliteserien 4-1 W
31 Oct · Eliteserien 0-3 W
28 Oct · NM Cupen 1-2 L
24 Oct · Eliteserien 0-3 W
18 Oct · Eliteserien 0-3 W
10 Oct · Eliteserien 1-1 D
Start · last 6
07 Nov · Eliteserien 4-1 L
01 Nov · Eliteserien 0-1 L
25 Oct · Eliteserien 1-0 W
18 Oct · Eliteserien 6-1 L
11 Oct · Eliteserien 2-4 L
06 Oct · NM Cupen 1-5 W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Eliteserien Rosenborg BK 4-1 Start
18 Jul 26 · Eliteserien Start 0-3 Rosenborg BK
24 Feb 26 · Friendlies Clubs Rosenborg BK 2-1 Start
01 Nov 20 · Eliteserien Rosenborg BK 1-0 Start
16 Jul 20 · Eliteserien Start 0-0 Rosenborg BK
Tickets including this match
SURESHOT win chance 77.5% VOID SURESHOT win chance 82.5% VOID SURESHOT win chance 79.0% VOID TREBLE win chance 74.8% VOID TREBLE win chance 76.8% VOID TREBLE win chance 76.8% VOID