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Premier League
Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks
Sun 08 Nov 17:30 0 minutes final 1–0 · settledSw
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Home or Draw · 91.8%
why
• league SUSPENDED (67.7%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• league's published legs underperform
league track
None · 67.7% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.1%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 17/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.8% (n=163)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
91.8%
Home or Draw
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
67.7%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
8.2%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 1.92 / μ 0.57
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
8.2%
|
12.21x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
24.1%
|
4.16x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
67.7%
|
1.48x | 67.7% n=31 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Medeama 2W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Medeama 2.17 ppg vs Swedru All … 1.5 ppg
Medeama · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League
1-0
W
01 Nov · Premier League
1-1
D
25 Oct · Premier League
1-0
W
18 Oct · Premier League
2-1
L
11 Oct · Premier League
3-1
W
04 Oct · Premier League
0-1
W
Swedru All Blacks · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League
1-0
L
01 Nov · Premier League
1-2
L
25 Oct · Premier League
1-2
W
18 Oct · Premier League
2-0
W
10 Oct · Premier League
1-0
W
04 Oct · Premier League
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Premier League
Medeama 1-0 Swedru All Blac…
01 Mar 26 · Premier League
Swedru All Blac… 0-0 Medeama
26 Oct 25 · Premier League
Medeama 1-0 Swedru All Blac…
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