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Superettan

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS

Sat 07 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 94.6%
why
• league PROVEN (76.5%, n=34)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
proven · 76.5% of 34 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 60.0%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 26/25 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 94.1% (n=34)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3031)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
94.6%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
5.4%
Draw
15.0%
Away win
79.7%
calibrated 07 Nov 10:59
scoring fit λ 0.53 / μ 2.49
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 242 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
79.7%
1.25x 43.4% n=242 solid won
Draw
15.0%
6.68x 43.4% n=242 risky lost
Home win
5.4%
18.66x 43.4% n=242 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 4 meetings — GIF Sundsvall 1W / 0D / 3L · momentum GIF Sundsva… 0.0 ppg vs Varbergs Bo… 1.67 ppg
GIF Sundsvall · last 6
07 Nov · Superettan 0-2 L
31 Oct · Superettan 4-2 L
23 Oct · Superettan 7-0 L
18 Oct · Superettan 0-1 L
13 Oct · Superettan 4-0 L
03 Oct · Friendlies Clubs 1-0 L
Varbergs BoIS · last 6
07 Nov · Superettan 0-2 W
01 Nov · Superettan 2-2 D
27 Oct · Superettan 1-1 D
19 Oct · Superettan 0-0 D
10 Oct · Superettan 1-1 D
19 Sep · Superettan 3-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Superettan GIF Sundsvall 0-2 Varbergs BoIS
24 May 26 · Superettan Varbergs BoIS 1-0 GIF Sundsvall
13 Sep 25 · Superettan GIF Sundsvall 2-3 Varbergs BoIS
20 Jul 25 · Superettan Varbergs BoIS 0-2 GIF Sundsvall
Tickets including this match
TREBLE win chance 79.6% VOID TREBLE win chance 79.6% VOID TREBLE win chance 79.6% VOID