Championship · Sep 12, 2026 13:30
Betting Verdict
2/4
SourcesDRAW
Pick0%
Confidencex
Odds2 sources agree - Moderate confidence
ML (0)
Odds
Stats
Watched
Derby
England
England
P50
W/D/L22/6/22
GF/GA70/65
CS13
Form: 2W 2D 6L
ATK 45% DEF 39% OVR 45%
ATK 45% DEF 39% OVR 45%
A. Mowatt (50)Derry Murkin (50)Cruz Allen (50)
Birmingham
England
England
P50
W/D/L16/19/15
GF/GA64/69
CS10
Form: 3W 5D 2L
ATK 54% DEF 37% OVR 54%
ATK 54% DEF 37% OVR 54%
A. Cochrane (50)Marc Leonard (50)Nelson Khumbeni (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
1.4-1.5
Consensus34.2%
Home33.2%
Draw32.6%
AwayOver/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
56%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
3-0
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
3-3
1.4%
0-4
1.3%
2-4
1.2%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.9%
4-0
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-3
0.5%
0-5
0.4%
2-5
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-0
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Market Tips
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| O/U | Under 1.5 | 20.6% |
| O/U | Under 2.5 | 46.0% |
| O/U | Under 3.5 | 65.8% |
| O/U | Under 4.5 | 82.3% |
VALUE
CONSIDER · 57% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: 25.3%
No player data available yet. Player stats become available 30 minutes before kickoff.
Head-to-Head
Derby
42.9%
3 Wins
2 D
Birmingham
28.6%
2 Wins
Mar 21, 2026
Derby 1-- Birmingham
Dec 26, 2025
Birmingham 1-1 Derby
Jan 30, 2022
Derby 2-2 Birmingham
Sep 10, 2021
Birmingham 2-- Derby
Apr 24, 2021
Derby 1-2 Birmingham
Dec 29, 2020
Birmingham --4 Derby
Jul 22, 2020
Birmingham 1-3 Derby