Eredivisie · Sep 11, 2026 20:00
Betting Verdict
2/4
SourcesHOME
Pick83%
Confidencex
Odds2 sources agree - Moderate confidence
ML (0)
Odds
Stats
Watched
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands
Netherlands
P50
W/D/L27/11/12
GF/GA102/63
CS17
Form: 7W 3D 0L
ATK 78% DEF 46% OVR 67%
ATK 78% DEF 46% OVR 67%
Rion Ichihara (50)Mathijs Menu (50)Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro (50)
Willem II
Netherlands
Netherlands
P50
W/D/L25/10/15
GF/GA80/62
CS16
Form: 3W 1D 6L
ATK 49% DEF 30% OVR 37%
ATK 49% DEF 30% OVR 37%
Thomas Didillon (50)Per van Loon (50)Justin Hoogma (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
Trusted Models (>50% acc) 1
HOME
Pick60.0%
Home25.0%
Draw15.0%
Away2.2-1.2
Score
Brain Engine 68%
2.2-1.2
H:1% D:0% A:0%
2.2-1.2
Consensus60.0%
Home25.0%
Draw15.0%
AwayOver/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
58%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
0-2
2.3%
4-2
2.3%
2-3
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
5-1
1.8%
3-3
1.6%
5-0
1.5%
5-2
1.0%
0-3
0.9%
4-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-4
0.5%
5-3
0.4%
0-4
0.3%
4-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Market Tips
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 1X | 85.0% |
| O/U | Under 1.5 | 14.7% |
| O/U | Under 2.5 | 38.2% |
| O/U | Under 3.5 | 55.9% |
| O/U | Under 4.5 | 74.4% |
STRONG
BET · 68% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: -20.8%
No player data available yet. Player stats become available 30 minutes before kickoff.
Head-to-Head
AZ Alkmaar
50.0%
1 Wins
0 D
Willem II
50.0%
1 Wins
Feb 02, 2025
Willem II --2 AZ Alkmaar
Nov 10, 2024
AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Willem II