Betting Verdict
2/4
SourcesAWAY
Pick56%
Confidencex
Odds2 sources agree - Moderate confidence
ML (0)
Odds
Stats
Watched
Puebla
Mexico
Mexico
P50
W/D/L11/9/30
GF/GA55/98
CS8
Form: 4W 1D 5L
ATK 63% DEF 30% OVR 39%
ATK 63% DEF 30% OVR 39%
Ricardo Gutierrez (50)Eduardo Navarro (50)Juan Pablo Vargas (50)
Toluca
Mexico
Mexico
P50
W/D/L25/13/12
GF/GA85/45
CS20
Form: 8W 1D 1L
ATK 64% DEF 73% OVR 64%
ATK 64% DEF 73% OVR 64%
Alek Álvarez (50)Luis García (50)Santiago Simón (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
Trusted Models (>50% acc) 1
AWAY
Pick20.2%
Home25.4%
Draw54.4%
Away1.2-2.2
Score
Brain Engine 70%
1.2-2.2
H:0% D:0% A:1%
1.2-2.2
Consensus20.2%
Home25.4%
Draw54.4%
AwayOver/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
57%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
2-4
2.4%
1-5
2.0%
2-0
2.0%
3-2
2.0%
0-5
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
3-3
1.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-4
0.9%
3-0
0.8%
4-2
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-3
0.4%
4-0
0.2%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-0
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Market Tips
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| DC | X2 | 79.8% |
| O/U | Under 1.5 | 14.9% |
| O/U | Under 2.5 | 38.4% |
| O/U | Under 3.5 | 56.2% |
| O/U | Under 4.5 | 74.7% |
STRONG
SKIP · 70% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: 8.4%
No player data available yet. Player stats become available 30 minutes before kickoff.
Head-to-Head

Puebla
18.2%
2 Wins
4 D

Toluca
45.5%
5 Wins
Jan 31, 2026
Puebla --- Toluca
Sep 14, 2025
Toluca 3-1 Puebla
Mar 15, 2025
Puebla --3 Toluca
Oct 23, 2024
Toluca 5-- Puebla
Jan 27, 2024
Puebla 1-1 Toluca
Nov 01, 2023
Toluca --1 Puebla
Jun 24, 2023
Toluca 1-1 Puebla
Apr 08, 2023
Puebla 1-2 Toluca
Aug 03, 2022
Toluca 1-1 Puebla
Apr 03, 2022
Toluca 2-1 Puebla
Liga MX · Sep 16, 2026 03:00