Liga Pro · Sep 04, 2026 02:00
Betting Verdict
2/4
SourcesDRAW
Pick0%
Confidencex
Odds2 sources agree - Moderate confidence
ML (0)
Odds
Stats
Watched
Libertad Asunción
Ecuador
Ecuador
P50
W/D/L15/15/20
GF/GA51/60
CS14
Form: 6W 2D 2L
ATK 49% DEF 61% OVR 56%
ATK 49% DEF 61% OVR 56%
Publio Mina (50)Yerlin Quinonez (50)R. Morinigo (50)
Emelec
Ecuador
Ecuador
P50
W/D/L18/14/18
GF/GA46/56
CS21
Form: 3W 3D 4L
ATK 40% DEF 48% OVR 44%
ATK 40% DEF 48% OVR 44%
Pedro Ortiz (50)S. Quintero (50)S. Valencia (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
Trusted Models (>50% acc) 1
HOME
Pick37.6%
Home35.5%
Draw26.9%
Away1.2-0.8
Score
Brain Engine 71%
1.2-0.8
H:0% D:0% A:0%
1.2-0.8
Consensus37.6%
Home35.5%
Draw26.9%
AwayOver/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
42%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-0
1.3%
0-3
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
2-3
1.0%
4-2
0.5%
3-3
0.4%
0-4
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Market Tips
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| DC | 1X | 73.1% |
| O/U | Under 1.5 | 40.1% |
| O/U | Under 2.5 | 68.1% |
| O/U | Under 3.5 | 85.4% |
| O/U | Under 4.5 | 94.6% |
STRONG
BET · 71% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: 26.4%
Lineups
Libertad Asunción 13
#2
R. Morinigo
Defender
#6
B. Caicedo
Defender
#17
E. Patta
Defender
#19
O. Quiñónez
Defender
#20
J. Rodríguez
Defender
#33
A. Chére
Forward
#1
Publio Mina
Goalkeeper
#12
D. Cabezas
Goalkeeper
#23
Jawer Guisamano
Midfielder
#49
D. Coronel
Midfielder
#63
C. Valencia
Midfielder
#70
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
Midfielder
#80
X. Pineda
Midfielder
Substitutes
#18
Yerlin Quinonez
Defender
#25
M. Lucas
Defender
#9
E. Caicedo
Forward
#11
H. Batalla
Forward
#5
C. Gruezo
Midfielder
#7
Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez
Midfielder
#8
Stick Carlos Castro Palma
Midfielder
#10
G. Cortéz
Midfielder
#30
J. Bravo
Midfielder
#66
J. Estacio
Midfielder
Emelec 11
#2
A. Leguizamón
Defender
#13
Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
Defender
#27
F. León
Defender
#30
Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra
Defender
#9
R. Carrillo
Forward
#10
F. Pizzini
Forward
#1
Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez
Goalkeeper
#5
A. Mina
Midfielder
#15
Luis Fragozo
Midfielder
#19
J. Ruíz
Midfielder
#32
J. Valverde
Midfielder
Substitutes
#4
E. Segura
Defender
#51
S. Valencia
Defender
#80
O. Herrera
Defender
#7
L. Klimowicz
Forward
#17
J. Ayoví
Forward
#59
Reixon Saya
Forward
#90
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
Goalkeeper
#6
V. Griffith
Midfielder
#8
G. Nápoli
Midfielder
#11
S. Arce
Midfielder
#16
S. Quintero
Midfielder
#21
J. Cevallos
Midfielder
Player Ratings
Libertad Asunción
| Player | Rat | G | A | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Valencia | 8.3 | 1 | - | 90' |
| Vilinton Germán B… | 7.9 | - | - | 83' |
| X. Pineda | 7.3 | - | - | 63' |
| O. Quiñónez | 7.2 | - | - | 90' |
| D. Cabezas | 7.2 | - | - | 90' |
| J. Rodríguez | 7.0 | - | - | 90' |
| B. Caicedo | 6.9 | - | - | 90' |
| G. Cortéz | 6.9 | - | - | 20' |
| Carlos Alfredo Or… | 6.7 | - | - | 13' |
| R. Morinigo | 6.3 | - | - | 90' |
| J. Bravo | 6.3 | - | - | 27' |
| E. Patta | 6.3 | - | - | 90' |
| E. Caicedo | 6.3 | - | - | 20' |
| D. Coronel | 6.2 | - | - | 70' |
| A. Chére | 6.2 | - | - | 70' |
Emelec
| Player | Rat | G | A | Min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cevallos | 8.3 | 1 | - | 34' |
| Mario Alfredo Val… | 8.0 | - | - | 90' |
| A. Leguizamón | 7.5 | - | - | 90' |
| R. Carrillo | 7.1 | - | 1 | 85' |
| J. Valverde | 6.9 | - | - | 90' |
| F. León | 6.9 | - | - | 90' |
| V. Griffith | 6.8 | - | - | 14' |
| L. Klimowicz | 6.7 | - | - | 11' |
| J. Ruíz | 6.6 | - | - | 56' |
| F. Pizzini | 6.6 | - | - | 56' |
| Reixon Saya | 6.3 | - | - | 34' |
| A. Mina | 6.3 | - | - | 56' |
| G. Nápoli | 6.3 | - | - | 34' |
| Luis Fragozo | 6.2 | - | - | 76' |
| Madison Ariel Min… | 6.2 | - | - | 90' |
Head-to-Head
Libertad Asun…
14.3%
1 Wins
4 D

Emelec
28.6%
2 Wins
May 10, 2026
Emelec 1-1 Libertad Asun…
Aug 03, 2025
Libertad Asun… 1-2 Emelec
Apr 12, 2025
Emelec 1-1 Libertad Asun…
Nov 30, 2024
Libertad Asun… 2-1 Emelec
Jun 01, 2024
Emelec --- Libertad Asun…
Aug 05, 2023
Libertad Asun… --- Emelec
Feb 27, 2023
Emelec 2-- Libertad Asun…