Liga Pro · Sep 04, 2026 02:00
1 - 1
FT

Emelec
Ecuador
Betting Verdict
2/4
Sources
DRAW
Pick
0%
Confidence
x
Odds

2 sources agree - Moderate confidence


ML (0)

Odds

Stats

Watched
P50
W/D/L15/15/20
GF/GA51/60
CS14
Form: 6W 2D 2L
ATK 49% DEF 61% OVR 56%
Publio Mina (50)Yerlin Quinonez (50)R. Morinigo (50)
Emelec
Ecuador
P50
W/D/L18/14/18
GF/GA46/56
CS21
Form: 3W 3D 4L
ATK 40% DEF 48% OVR 44%
Pedro Ortiz (50)S. Quintero (50)S. Valencia (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
Trusted Models (>50% acc) 1
HOME
Pick
37.6%
Home
35.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away
1.2-0.8
Score
Brain Engine 71% 1.2-0.8 H:0% D:0% A:0%
1.2-0.8
Consensus
37.6%
Home
35.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away
Over/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
42%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-0
1.3%
0-3
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
2-3
1.0%
4-2
0.5%
3-3
0.4%
0-4
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Market Tips
MarketSelectionProbability
DC 1X 73.1%
O/U Under 1.5 40.1%
O/U Under 2.5 68.1%
O/U Under 3.5 85.4%
O/U Under 4.5 94.6%
STRONG
BET · 71% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: 26.4%
Lineups
Libertad Asunción 13
#2 R. Morinigo Defender
#6 B. Caicedo Defender
#17 E. Patta Defender
#19 O. Quiñónez Defender
#20 J. Rodríguez Defender
#33 A. Chére Forward
#1 Publio Mina Goalkeeper
#12 D. Cabezas Goalkeeper
#23 Jawer Guisamano Midfielder
#49 D. Coronel Midfielder
#63 C. Valencia Midfielder
#70 Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín Midfielder
#80 X. Pineda Midfielder
Substitutes
#18 Yerlin Quinonez Defender
#25 M. Lucas Defender
#9 E. Caicedo Forward
#11 H. Batalla Forward
#5 C. Gruezo Midfielder
#7 Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez Midfielder
#8 Stick Carlos Castro Palma Midfielder
#10 G. Cortéz Midfielder
#30 J. Bravo Midfielder
#66 J. Estacio Midfielder
Emelec 11
#2 A. Leguizamón Defender
#13 Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo Defender
#27 F. León Defender
#30 Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra Defender
#9 R. Carrillo Forward
#10 F. Pizzini Forward
#1 Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez Goalkeeper
#5 A. Mina Midfielder
#15 Luis Fragozo Midfielder
#19 J. Ruíz Midfielder
#32 J. Valverde Midfielder
Substitutes
#4 E. Segura Defender
#51 S. Valencia Defender
#80 O. Herrera Defender
#7 L. Klimowicz Forward
#17 J. Ayoví Forward
#59 Reixon Saya Forward
#90 Eduardo David Bores Díaz Goalkeeper
#6 V. Griffith Midfielder
#8 G. Nápoli Midfielder
#11 S. Arce Midfielder
#16 S. Quintero Midfielder
#21 J. Cevallos Midfielder
Player Ratings
Libertad Asunción
PlayerRatGAMin
C. Valencia 8.3 1 - 90'
Vilinton Germán B… 7.9 - - 83'
X. Pineda 7.3 - - 63'
O. Quiñónez 7.2 - - 90'
D. Cabezas 7.2 - - 90'
J. Rodríguez 7.0 - - 90'
B. Caicedo 6.9 - - 90'
G. Cortéz 6.9 - - 20'
Carlos Alfredo Or… 6.7 - - 13'
R. Morinigo 6.3 - - 90'
J. Bravo 6.3 - - 27'
E. Patta 6.3 - - 90'
E. Caicedo 6.3 - - 20'
D. Coronel 6.2 - - 70'
A. Chére 6.2 - - 70'
Emelec
PlayerRatGAMin
J. Cevallos 8.3 1 - 34'
Mario Alfredo Val… 8.0 - - 90'
A. Leguizamón 7.5 - - 90'
R. Carrillo 7.1 - 1 85'
J. Valverde 6.9 - - 90'
F. León 6.9 - - 90'
V. Griffith 6.8 - - 14'
L. Klimowicz 6.7 - - 11'
J. Ruíz 6.6 - - 56'
F. Pizzini 6.6 - - 56'
Reixon Saya 6.3 - - 34'
A. Mina 6.3 - - 56'
G. Nápoli 6.3 - - 34'
Luis Fragozo 6.2 - - 76'
Madison Ariel Min… 6.2 - - 90'
Head-to-Head
Libertad Asun…
14.3%
1 Wins
4 D

Emelec
28.6%
2 Wins
May 10, 2026 Emelec 1-1 Libertad Asun…
Aug 03, 2025 Libertad Asun… 1-2 Emelec
Apr 12, 2025 Emelec 1-1 Libertad Asun…
Nov 30, 2024 Libertad Asun… 2-1 Emelec
Jun 01, 2024 Emelec --- Libertad Asun…
Aug 05, 2023 Libertad Asun… --- Emelec
Feb 27, 2023 Emelec 2-- Libertad Asun…