Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 11:00
Leicester PWR 33
Northampton Town … PWR 31
Leicester PWR 33
1-0
predicted
Northampton Town … PWR 31
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
No
BTTS · Away scores only 0.7/g, Home concedes 0.9/g
72%
accuracy
1.55x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Leicester to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
40Attack27
55Defense61
Goals/G
1.30.9
Conc/G
1.51.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Leicester
WDDLL
STABLE
Northampton To…
LLLLL
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
Leicester
Northampton…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Divine Mukasa | Mid | 7.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | Patson Daka | For | 7.08 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Abdul Fatawu Issa… | Mid | 7.07 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 29 |
| 15 | Harry Souttar | Def | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Oliver Skipp | Mid | 6.89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| 33 | Luke Thomas | Def | 6.81 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 30 |
| 28 | Jeremy Monga | Mid | 6.79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Harry Winks | Mid | 6.79 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 23 | Jannik Vestergaard | Def | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| 21 | Ricardo Pereira | Def | 6.75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| 24 | Jamaal Lascelles | Def | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Bobby De Cordova-… | Mid | 6.66 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| - | Benjamin Nelson | Def | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Jordan Ayew | Mid | 6.52 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 31 |
| 31 | Asmir Begović | Goa | 6.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| 17 | Hamza Choudhury | Mid | 6.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Stephy Mavididi | Mid | 6.41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| 25 | Louis Page | Mid | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 1 | Jakub Stolarczyk | Goa | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| - | Caleb Okoli | Def | 6.24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Leicestervs
0.77
Northampton To…Goal Probability
Leicester
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Northampton…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#304
Leicester+1418
Gap#1722
Northampton…
WR 63% 17 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 17 |
| Northampton T… | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Leicester
8.0%
| May 02 | Leicest… v Blackbu… | 0-1 |
| Apr 24 | Leicest… v Millwall | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Leicest… v Hull Ci… | 2-2 |
| Apr 18 | Leicest… v Portsmo… | 1-0 |
| Apr 11 | Leicest… v Swansea | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | Leicest… v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Apr 03 | Leicest… v Preston | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Leicest… v Watford | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Leicest… v QPR | 1-3 |
| Mar 10 | Leicest… v Bristol… | 2-0 |
Northampton To…
0.0%
| May 02 | Northam… v Plymouth | 2-3 |
| Apr 28 | Northam… v Barnsley | 0-1 |
| Apr 25 | Northam… v Cardiff | 5-1 |
| Apr 18 | Northam… v Doncast… | 1-3 |
| Apr 15 | Northam… v Luton | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Northam… v Wigan | 1-3 |
| Apr 03 | Northam… v Bradford | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Northam… v Mansfie… | 4-1 |
| Mar 17 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Northam… v Burton … | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.