Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 11:00
Esbjerg PWR 39
Mafra PWR 79
Esbjerg PWR 39
0 - 1
FT
Mafra PWR 79
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Esbjerg to win (85% confidence)
Score
3-2
Confidence
85%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.95x
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
54Attack79
38Defense83
Goals/G
1.52.3
Conc/G
1.80.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Esbjerg
WDWWD
STABLE
Mafra
LDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Esbjergvs
0.67
MafraGoal Probability
Esbjerg
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Mafra
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#498
Esbjerg+226
Gap#724
Mafra
WR 23% 13 pts
WR 75% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 13 |
| Mafra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
Esbjerg
16.0%
| Jul 04 | Esbjerg v Aarhus … | 2-0 |
| Jun 27 | Esbjerg v Vejle | 3-3 |
| May 31 | Esbjerg v Lyngby | 2-1 |
| May 25 | Esbjerg v Hvidovre | 1-4 |
| May 16 | Esbjerg v Hillerød | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Esbjerg v Kolding… | 3-0 |
| Apr 30 | Esbjerg v AC Hors… | 0-1 |
| Apr 24 | Esbjerg v Lyngby | 5-0 |
| Apr 21 | Esbjerg v AC Hors… | 4-1 |
| Apr 17 | Esbjerg v Hillerød | 0-0 |
Mafra
10.0%
| May 16 | Mafra v CF Os B… | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Mafra v Academi… | 3-3 |
| May 03 | Mafra v Guimara… | 0-2 |
| Apr 25 | Mafra v Trofense | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Mafra v Amarante | 1-4 |
| Apr 11 | Mafra v Varzim | 0-2 |
| Apr 03 | Mafra v União S… | 2-1 |
| Mar 22 | Mafra v CF Os B… | 1-4 |
| Mar 15 | Mafra v Academi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Mafra v Guimara… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
51%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Esbjerg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.