Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 12:00
Orenburg PWR 40
CSKA Moscow PWR 45
Orenburg PWR 40
2-1
predicted
CSKA Moscow PWR 45
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Yes
BTTS · Both score (1.6 & 1.6/g) and concede (1.9 & 1.7/g)
83%
accuracy
1.65x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Orenburg to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (41%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
54Attack65
33Defense39
Goals/G
1.61.6
Conc/G
1.91.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.04.0
Orenburg
LWLLW
STABLE
CSKA Moscow
DDWWL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Alexis Cantero | Mid | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Danila Vedernikov | Def | 6.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 26 | Emil Tsenov | Mid | 6.73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 57 | Evgeniy Bolotov | Mid | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Fahd Moufi | Mid | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 37 | Du Queiroz | Mid | 6.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Jhon Palacios | Def | 6.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 1 | Bogdan Ovsyannikov | Goa | 6.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Danila Khotulev | Def | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Alexandre Jesus | For | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Damián Puebla | Mid | 6.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Emircan Gürlük | Mid | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 30 | Gedeon Guzina | For | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Jordhy Thompson | Mid | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Maksim Saveljev | For | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 65 | Ivan Ivashchenko | Mid | 6.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | Stanislav Poroykov | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 33 | Irakli Kvekveskiri | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| - | Pavel Gorelov | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 59 | Tigran Avanesyan | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Orenburgvs
0.36
CSKA MoscowGoal Probability
Orenburg
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CSKA Moscow
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#412
Orenburg-121
Gap#291
CSKA Moscow
WR 33% 15 pts
WR 27% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 18 |
Orenburg
8.0%
| Jul 07 | Orenburg v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Jul 03 | Orenburg v Rubin | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Orenburg v FK Neft… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 3-0 |
| May 10 | Orenburg v Krylya … | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Orenburg v PFC Soc… | 3-1 |
| Apr 25 | Orenburg v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | Orenburg v Nizhny … | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Orenburg v Lokomot… | 0-1 |
| Apr 11 | Orenburg v Rubin | 0-0 |
CSKA Moscow
12.0%
| Jul 04 | CSKA Mo… v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Jun 30 | CSKA Mo… v Shinnik… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | CSKA Mo… v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
| May 11 | CSKA Mo… v Nizhny … | 1-2 |
| May 06 | CSKA Mo… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| May 02 | CSKA Mo… v Zenit S… | 1-3 |
| Apr 25 | CSKA Mo… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Apr 21 | CSKA Mo… v FC Rost… | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | CSKA Mo… v Krylya … | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | CSKA Mo… v PFC Soc… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 29, 2025 | CSKA Moscow | 2-0 | Orenburg |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Orenburg | 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
Player
50%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Orenburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.