Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 12:00
Rio Ave FC PWR 36
Arouca PWR 29
Rio Ave FC PWR 36
3-2
predicted
Arouca PWR 29
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Rio Ave FC to win (85% confidence)
Score
3-2
Confidence
85%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
53Attack82
39Defense0
Goals/G
1.12.0
Conc/G
1.83.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
4.04.2
Rio Ave FC
DLDLD
STABLE
Arouca
WWDLW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Rio Ave FC
Arouca
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | Ennio Van Der Gouw | Goa | 7.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Marios Vrousai | Def | 6.93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Diogo Bezerra | Mid | 6.89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Ryan Guilherme | Mid | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Andreas Ndoj | Mid | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tamblé Monteiro | For | 6.74 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 39 | Gustavo Mancha | Def | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 77 | Omar Richards | Def | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 32 | Jakub Brabec | Def | 6.58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Dario Špikić | Mid | 6.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 80 | Olinho | Mid | 6.52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 44 | Tamás Nikitscher | Mid | 6.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Nelson Abbey | Def | 6.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Cezary Miszta | Goa | 6.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Jalen Blesa | Mid | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | João Tomé | Def | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | Francisco Petrasso | Def | 6.04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| - | Tobias Medina | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Antonis Papakanel… | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| - | Karem Zoabi | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Rio Ave FCvs
1.16
AroucaGoal Probability
Rio Ave FC
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Arouca
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1105
Rio Ave FC+1205
Gap#2310
Arouca
WR 13% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| Arouca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Rio Ave FC
6.0%
| May 16 | Rio Ave… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
| May 11 | Rio Ave… v Sportin… | 1-4 |
| May 03 | Rio Ave… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Rio Ave… v Guimara… | 2-0 |
| Apr 17 | Rio Ave… v AVS | 2-2 |
| Apr 11 | Rio Ave… v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Apr 04 | Rio Ave… v Alverca | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Rio Ave… v Estoril | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Rio Ave… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Rio Ave… v Tondela | 0-1 |
Arouca
14.0%
| May 16 | Arouca v Tondela | 3-1 |
| May 11 | Arouca v GIL Vic… | 1-3 |
| May 02 | Arouca v Santa C… | 2-2 |
| Apr 24 | Arouca v Alverca | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Arouca v Estrela… | 1-0 |
| Apr 12 | Arouca v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Arouca v Estoril | 3-2 |
| Mar 21 | Arouca v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Arouca v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Arouca v Famalic… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Rio Ave FC | 0-3 | Arouca |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Arouca | 3-3 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Arouca | 1-1 | Rio Ave FC |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-0 | Arouca |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-0 | Arouca |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 3-2 | Arouca |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Arouca |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Arouca |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Arouca | 2-2 | Rio Ave FC |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Arouca | 2-2 | Rio Ave FC |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
50%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arouca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.