Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 11:00
AZ Alkmaar PWR 68
Almere City PWR 69
AZ Alkmaar PWR 68
2-1
predicted
Almere City PWR 69
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)2-0 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
100Attack72
44Defense63
Goals/G
4.22.1
Conc/G
1.61.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.80.0
AZ Alkmaar
DDDDD
STABLE
Almere City
LWLLD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maxim Dekker | Def | 7.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Sven Mijnans | Mid | 7.12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Rion Ichihara | Def | 6.96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| - | Jordy Clasie | Mid | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 27 | Ro-Zangelo Daal | Mid | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | Billy van Duijl | Def | 6.84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Alexandre Penetra | Def | 6.82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Mateo Chávez | Mid | 6.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 26 | Kees Smit | Mid | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Seiya Maikuma | Mid | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 34 | Mees de Wit | Mid | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 35 | Mexx Meerdink | For | 6.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Ibrahim Sadiq | For | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | Isak Steiner Jens… | Mid | 6.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Troy Parrott | For | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Rome Jayden Owusu… | Goa | 6.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Elijah Dijkstra | Mid | 6.56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 74 | Kasper Boogaard | Mid | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 41 | Jeroen Zoet | Goa | 6.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Peer Koopmeiners | Mid | 6.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
AZ Alkmaarvs
1.01
Almere CityGoal Probability
AZ Alkmaar
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Almere City
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#563
AZ Alkmaar-543
Gap#20
Almere City
WR 60% 11 pts
WR 72% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 11 |
| Almere City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 40 |
AZ Alkmaar
10.0%
| Jul 04 | AZ Alkm… v Gent | 3-3 |
| May 17 | AZ Alkm… v NAC Bre… | 3-3 |
| May 10 | AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
| Apr 23 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 0-0 |
| Apr 19 | AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… | 5-1 |
| Apr 16 | AZ Alkm… v Shakhta… | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | AZ Alkm… v Heerenv… | 3-0 |
| Apr 09 | AZ Alkm… v Shakhta… | 3-0 |
| Apr 04 | AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… | 2-0 |
Almere City
6.0%
| Jul 08 | Almere … v GO Ahea… | 2-1 |
| Jul 04 | Almere … v Telstar | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Almere … v Willem … | 2-0 |
| May 13 | Almere … v Willem … | 0-1 |
| May 09 | Almere … v De Graa… | 2-2 |
| May 08 | Almere … v De Graa… | 1-1 |
| May 06 | Almere … v De Graa… | 3-1 |
| May 06 | Almere … v De Graa… | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Almere … v Den Bos… | 3-0 |
| May 02 | Almere … v Den Bos… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 18, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | Almere City |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Almere City | 0-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Almere City | 0-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Dec 09, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | 4-1 | Almere City |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Almere City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.