Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 12:30
Dordrecht PWR 39
Excelsior PWR 16
Dordrecht PWR 39
2-1
predicted
Excelsior PWR 16
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 3.4/g, expected 4.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Dordrecht to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 81%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
68Attack35
14Defense0
Goals/G
2.00.9
Conc/G
2.43.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
1.03.0
Dordrecht
LWLLW
STABLE
Excelsior
WWDWW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Dordrecht
Excelsior
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Celton Biai | Goa | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Sem Valk | Def | 6.73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 59 | Joey de Bie | For | 6.69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | Mica Pinto | Mid | 6.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | Jan Plug | Def | 6.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Daniel van Vianen | Mid | 6.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Yannis M'Bemba | Def | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 29 | Nicolás Rossi | Mid | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 | Yoon Do-young | For | 6.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 28 | Lorenzo Codutti | Mid | 6.35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Lawson Sunderland | Mid | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | Robin van Asten | Mid | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 | Argyrios Darelas | Mid | 6.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | Jurre van Aken | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Tim Coremans | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Seung-gyun Bae | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 | Martin Vetkal | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Joshua Pynadath | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Thomas Artic | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | Lucas Woudenberg | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Dordrechtvs
2.78
ExcelsiorGoal Probability
Dordrecht
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Excelsior
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-3 (6%)1-4 (6%)2-2 (5%)2-4 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#696
Dordrecht+644
Gap#1340
Excelsior
WR 33% 10 pts
WR 14% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| Excelsior | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 4 |
Dordrecht
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Dordrec… v Feyenoo… | 0-6 |
| Jun 27 | Dordrec… v Schalke… | 3-0 |
| Apr 24 | Dordrec… v Willem … | 1-2 |
| Apr 17 | Dordrec… v Almere … | 4-1 |
| Apr 12 | Dordrec… v ADO Den… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Dordrec… v Cambuur | 1-1 |
| Apr 03 | Dordrec… v Roda | 0-3 |
| Mar 20 | Dordrec… v Jong Ut… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Dordrec… v FC OSS | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Dordrec… v De Graa… | 2-1 |
Excelsior
18.0%
| Jul 04 | Excelsi… v Cambuur | 3-2 |
| May 17 | Excelsi… v Sparta … | 2-3 |
| May 10 | Excelsi… v FC Vole… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Excelsi… v Groning… | 2-3 |
| Apr 26 | Excelsi… v Utrecht | 5-0 |
| Apr 12 | Excelsi… v PEC Zwo… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Excelsi… v NEC Nij… | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Excelsi… v Heracles | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Excelsi… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Excelsi… v Heerenv… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
50%
Momentum
39%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Excelsior in strong form (4W in last 5)
Dordrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.