Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 20:00
León FC PWR 59
Necaxa PWR 48
León FC PWR 59
3-2
predicted
Necaxa PWR 48
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Yes
BTTS · Both score (3.3 & 2.0/g) and concede (2.5 & 1.8/g)
83%
accuracy
1.65x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: León FC to win (60% confidence)
Score
3-2
Confidence
60%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)3-3 (3%)2-2 (3%)2-1 (3%)2-3 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 88%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
100Attack70
13Defense39
Goals/G
3.32.0
Conc/G
2.51.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
7.00.0
León FC
WWLLW
STABLE
Necaxa
DWWLD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
León FC
Necaxa
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Diber Cambindo | For | 6.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Rodrigo Echeverria | Mid | 6.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Nicolás Vallejo | Mid | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | José Rodríguez | Mid | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Salvador Reyes | Def | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Ismael Díaz | Mid | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Stiven Barreiro | Def | 6.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Fernando Beltrán | Mid | 6.17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Iván Moreno | Def | 6.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Valentin Gauthier | Def | 6.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Oscar García | Goa | 5.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Rogelio Funes Mori | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Bryan Colula | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | José Alvarado | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Abraham Villegas … | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Emilio Rodriguez | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 27 | Jordan García | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jordi Cortizo | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | David Ramírez | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Daniel Arcila | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
León FCvs
2.23
NecaxaGoal Probability
León FC
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Necaxa
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#520
León FC-238
Gap#282
Necaxa
WR 67% 12 pts
WR 33% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| León FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 12 |
| Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
León FC
12.0%
| Jul 03 | León FC v Tapatío | 4-2 |
| Jun 27 | León FC v Mineros… | 7-4 |
| Apr 26 | León FC v Toluca | 4-1 |
| Apr 22 | León FC v Club Am… | 2-3 |
| Apr 19 | León FC v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| Apr 11 | León FC v Puebla | 0-1 |
| Apr 05 | León FC v Atlas | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | León FC v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | León FC v Guadala… | 5-0 |
| Mar 15 | León FC v Club Ti… | 0-3 |
Necaxa
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Necaxa v Atlas | 0-0 |
| Jul 01 | Necaxa v Correca… | 3-6 |
| Jun 20 | Necaxa v Monarcas | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Necaxa v Cruz Az… | 4-1 |
| Apr 23 | Necaxa v Guadala… | 0-0 |
| Apr 19 | Necaxa v Tigres … | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Necaxa v Queréta… | 3-1 |
| Apr 04 | Necaxa v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Necaxa v Club Ti… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Necaxa v Puebla | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | León FC | 2-1 | Necaxa |
| Jan 03, 2026 | León FC | 1-2 | Necaxa |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Necaxa | 0-1 | León FC |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Necaxa | 2-1 | León FC |
| Jul 22, 2024 | León FC | 1-1 | Necaxa |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Necaxa | 1-2 | León FC |
| Sep 03, 2023 | León FC | 1-1 | Necaxa |
| Jan 17, 2023 | León FC | 2-1 | Necaxa |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Necaxa | 3-2 | León FC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Necaxa | 0-1 | León FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
León FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.