First League · Jul 11, 2026 15:00
FK Neftekhimik PWR 35
Veles PWR 56
FK Neftekhimik PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Veles PWR 56
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Neftekhimik Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
Tier
Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (2%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.95x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack35
100Defense83
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Neftekhimik
WDWDL
STABLE
Veles
DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 41% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 66% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FK Neftekhimikvs
0.73
VelesGoal Probability
FK Neftekhi…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Veles
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
FK Neftekhi…+30
Gap#36
Veles
WR 29% 124 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 107 | 31 | 31 | 45 | 106 | 120 | 124 |
| Veles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
FK Neftekhimik
12.0%
| Jul 01 | FK Neft… v KAMAZ | 2-3 |
| Jun 28 | FK Neft… v Krylya … | 1-1 |
| Jun 25 | FK Neft… v Orenburg | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | FK Neft… v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| May 16 | FK Neft… v SKA Kha… | 2-0 |
| May 10 | FK Neft… v Volga U… | 2-2 |
| May 02 | FK Neft… v Chelyab… | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | FK Neft… v Enisey | 2-0 |
| Apr 22 | FK Neft… v Chernom… | 4-0 |
| Apr 18 | FK Neft… v Spartak… | 3-1 |
Veles
10.0%
| Jul 04 | Veles v SKA Kha… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Veles v SKA Kha… | 3-2 |
| Oct 16 | Veles v Torpedo… | 3-0 |
| Sep 24 | Veles v Rotor V… | 2-1 |
| Sep 10 | Veles v Kosmos … | 1-4 |
| Aug 20 | Veles v Znamya … | 2-0 |
| May 06 | Veles v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Veles v FK Neft… | 4-1 |
| Oct 16 | Veles v Arsenal… | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Veles v FK Neft… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 12, 2023 | Veles | 4-1 | FK Neftekhimik |
| Aug 21, 2022 | FK Neftekhimik | 2-0 | Veles |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FK Neftekhimik | 2-1 | Veles |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Veles | 1-2 | FK Neftekhimik |
| May 02, 2021 | FK Neftekhimik | 2-0 | Veles |
| Nov 07, 2020 | Veles | 3-1 | FK Neftekhimik |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
51%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.