First League · Jul 12, 2026 14:00
Shinnik Yaroslavl PWR 35
PFC Sochi PWR 70
Shinnik Yaroslavl PWR 35
1-0
predicted
PFC Sochi PWR 70
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
Tier
MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack87
100Defense71
Goals/G
0.02.2
Conc/G
0.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.03.0
Shinnik Yarosl…
DDDWW
STABLE
PFC Sochi
LWDDL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Shinnik Yar…
PFC Sochi
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No player data | |||||||
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 35% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Shinnik Yarosl…vs
0.20
PFC SochiGoal Probability
Shinnik Yar…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
PFC Sochi
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Shinnik Yar…+26
Gap#31
PFC Sochi
WR 32% 133 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaros… | 102 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 101 | 119 | 133 |
| PFC Sochi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
Shinnik Yarosl…
14.0%
| Jun 30 | Shinnik… v CSKA Mo… | 1-1 |
| May 16 | Shinnik… v Chelyab… | 2-2 |
| May 11 | Shinnik… v Torpedo… | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Shinnik… v Ural | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Shinnik… v SKA Kha… | 3-0 |
| Apr 22 | Shinnik… v Fakel V… | 2-2 |
| Apr 18 | Shinnik… v Arsenal… | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Shinnik… v Volga U… | 0-1 |
| Apr 04 | Shinnik… v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Shinnik… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
PFC Sochi
8.0%
| Jul 03 | PFC Soc… v Torpedo… | 0-1 |
| Jun 30 | PFC Soc… v SKA Kha… | 4-2 |
| Jun 26 | PFC Soc… v Arsenal… | 3-3 |
| May 17 | PFC Soc… v Akhmat … | 1-1 |
| May 10 | PFC Soc… v Zenit S… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | PFC Soc… v Orenburg | 3-1 |
| Apr 26 | PFC Soc… v Dinamo … | 2-0 |
| Apr 21 | PFC Soc… v Krylya … | 2-1 |
| Apr 17 | PFC Soc… v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Apr 12 | PFC Soc… v CSKA Mo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 23, 2025 | PFC Sochi | 1-2 | Shinnik Yaros… |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Shinnik Yaros… | 0-2 | PFC Sochi |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.