First League · Jul 12, 2026 16:00
KAMAZ PWR 35
Spartak Kostroma
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
KAMAZ PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Kostroma Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Kostro…
LLDDL
DOWN
KAMAZ
LDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 47% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 41% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 88% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (39.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Spartak Kostro…vs
0.20
KAMAZGoal Probability
Spartak Kos…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
KAMAZ
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Spartak Kos…-2
Gap#5
KAMAZ
WR 29% 49 pts
WR 29% 50 pts
Spartak Kostro…
4.0%
| Jul 03 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Jul 02 | Spartak… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| Jun 28 | Spartak… v Volga U… | 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Spartak… v Arsenal… | 0-0 |
| May 16 | Spartak… v FC UFA | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Spartak… v FK Soko… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Spartak… v KAMAZ | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Spartak… v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | Spartak… v SKA Kha… | 3-0 |
| Apr 18 | Spartak… v FK Neft… | 3-1 |
KAMAZ
4.0%
| Jul 01 | KAMAZ v FK Neft… | 2-3 |
| Jun 26 | KAMAZ v Rubin | 1-1 |
| Jun 18 | KAMAZ v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| May 16 | KAMAZ v FK Soko… | 0-1 |
| May 11 | KAMAZ v Ural | 2-0 |
| May 01 | KAMAZ v Spartak… | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | KAMAZ v Chayka | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | KAMAZ v FC UFA | 0-1 |
| Apr 17 | KAMAZ v Torpedo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 10 | KAMAZ v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 01, 2026 | KAMAZ | 2-0 | Spartak Kostr… |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Spartak Kostr… | 1-1 | KAMAZ |
| Sep 25, 2025 | KAMAZ | 0-0 | Spartak Kostr… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Kostroma struggling (3L in last 5)
KAMAZ struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.