League Cup · Jul 11, 2026 14:00
Stranraer PWR 42
Ayr Utd PWR 57
Stranraer PWR 42
1-1
predicted
Ayr Utd PWR 57
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% away + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.22x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
62%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.11x
DC X2
86%
Away/Draw
1.22x
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
39Attack67
53Defense62
Goals/G
1.11.9
Conc/G
1.31.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stranraer
DWDDD
STABLE
Ayr Utd
WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Stranraervs
0.20
Ayr UtdGoal Probability
Stranraer
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Ayr Utd
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Stranraer-3
Gap#16
Ayr Utd
WR 33% 13 pts
WR 40% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| Ayr Utd | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 14 |
Stranraer
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Stranra… v Morton | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | Stranra… v Dundela | 4-0 |
| Jun 20 | Stranra… v Larne | 0-0 |
| May 02 | Stranra… v Elgin C… | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Stranra… v Stirlin… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Stranra… v Forfar … | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | Stranra… v Spartans | 1-2 |
| Apr 04 | Stranra… v Dumbart… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Stranra… v Annan A… | 1-0 |
| Mar 24 | Stranra… v Clyde | 3-1 |
Ayr Utd
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 2-1 |
| Jun 30 | Ayr Utd v Dumbart… | 2-0 |
| Jun 27 | Ayr Utd v Glenaft… | 3-0 |
| May 01 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 0-1 |
| Apr 25 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Ayr Utd v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Ayr Utd v Dunferm… | 0-3 |
| Apr 04 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ayr Utd | 4-1 | Stranraer |
| Jul 08, 2023 | Ayr Utd | 2-0 | Stranraer |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ayr Utd | 2-1 | Stranraer |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Ayr Utd | 1-1 | Stranraer |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.