League Cup · Jul 14, 2026 18:45
Dunfermline PWR 59
Dumbarton PWR 37
Dunfermline PWR 59
1-0
predicted
Dumbarton PWR 37
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Dunfermline to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
65Attack30
55Defense40
Goals/G
1.90.9
Conc/G
1.31.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dunfermline
WWLLD
STABLE
Dumbarton
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Dunfermlinevs
0.29
DumbartonGoal Probability
Dunfermline
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Dumbarton
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Dunfermline+8
Gap#26
Dumbarton
WR 57% 13 pts
WR 43% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| Dumbarton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 10 |
Dunfermline
10.0%
| Jul 04 | Dunferm… v Kelty H… | 0-3 |
| Jun 27 | Dunferm… v Clyde | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Dunferm… v FC Boto… | 1-0 |
| May 15 | Dunferm… v Partick | 2-1 |
| May 12 | Dunferm… v Partick | 1-1 |
| May 08 | Dunferm… v Arbroath | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Dunferm… v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| May 01 | Dunferm… v Arbroath | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Dunferm… v Queen's… | 0-2 |
| Apr 21 | Dunferm… v ST John… | 0-2 |
Dumbarton
4.0%
| Jun 30 | Dumbart… v Ayr Utd | 2-0 |
| Jun 20 | Dumbart… v Linlith… | 4-3 |
| May 02 | Dumbart… v Edinbur… | 4-0 |
| Apr 25 | Dumbart… v East Ki… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Dumbart… v Clyde | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | Dumbart… v Stirlin… | 2-1 |
| Apr 04 | Dumbart… v Stranra… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Dumbart… v Forfar … | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Dumbart… v Annan A… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Dumbart… v Elgin C… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Dumbarton | 0-4 | Dunfermline |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dumbarton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.