League Cup · Jul 14, 2026 18:45
Falkirk PWR 67
Ayr Utd PWR 57
Falkirk PWR 67
2-1
predicted
Ayr Utd PWR 57
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Falkirk to win (86% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
86%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
78Attack67
60Defense62
Goals/G
2.21.9
Conc/G
1.21.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Falkirk
WLLLW
STABLE
Ayr Utd
WWWLL
UP
Squad & Player Stats
Falkirk
Ayr Utd
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Liam Henderson | Def | 6.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Ben Broggio | For | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Sam Hart | Def | 6.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Calvin Miller | Mid | 6.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Coll Donaldson | Def | 6.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Kyrell Wilson | Mid | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Finn Yeats | Mid | 6.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Nicky Hogarth | Goa | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Dylan Tait | Mid | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brad Spencer | Mid | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Connor Allan | Def | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ethan Ross | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 27 | Ben Parkinson | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brian Graham | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jamie Sneddon | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ross Maclver | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Kai Brown | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Gary Oliver | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Henry Cartwright | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Falkirkvs
0.98
Ayr UtdGoal Probability
Falkirk
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Ayr Utd
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)0-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Falkirk+12
Gap#16
Ayr Utd
WR 62% 25 pts
WR 40% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 25 |
| Ayr Utd | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 14 |
Falkirk
8.0%
| Jul 07 | Falkirk v Airdrie… | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Falkirk v Rangers… | 2-5 |
| May 13 | Falkirk v Heart o… | 3-0 |
| May 09 | Falkirk v Hiberni… | 1-3 |
| May 02 | Falkirk v Motherw… | 1-0 |
| Apr 25 | Falkirk v Celtic | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Falkirk v Dunferm… | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Falkirk v Rangers… | 3-6 |
| Apr 04 | Falkirk v Motherw… | 2-3 |
| Mar 21 | Falkirk v St. Mir… | 1-2 |
Ayr Utd
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 2-1 |
| Jun 30 | Ayr Utd v Dumbart… | 2-0 |
| Jun 27 | Ayr Utd v Glenaft… | 3-0 |
| May 01 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 0-1 |
| Apr 25 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Ayr Utd v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Ayr Utd v Dunferm… | 0-3 |
| Apr 04 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 1-1 | Falkirk |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
Falkirk struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.