League Cup · Jul 18, 2026 14:00
ST Johnstone PWR 70
Morton PWR 46
ST Johnstone PWR 70
2-1
predicted
Morton PWR 46
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 1.7/g, expected 3.1 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: ST Johnstone to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
77Attack55
72Defense40
Goals/G
2.21.6
Conc/G
0.81.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ST Johnstone
WDWWW
STABLE
Morton
DDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
ST Johnstonevs
0.20
MortonGoal Probability
ST Johnstone
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Morton
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)4-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
ST Johnstone+20
Gap#29
Morton
WR 60% 20 pts
WR 43% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 20 |
| Morton | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
ST Johnstone
18.0%
| Jul 04 | ST John… v Montrose | 0-3 |
| Jun 30 | ST John… v Forfar … | 0-0 |
| May 01 | ST John… v Ayr Utd | 0-1 |
| Apr 24 | ST John… v Raith R… | 2-0 |
| Apr 21 | ST John… v Dunferm… | 0-2 |
| Apr 11 | ST John… v Airdrie… | 4-0 |
| Apr 04 | ST John… v Arbroath | 2-4 |
| Mar 28 | ST John… v Queen's… | 1-1 |
| Mar 20 | ST John… v Partick | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 1-0 |
Morton
6.0%
| Jul 04 | Morton v Stranra… | 0-0 |
| May 01 | Morton v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Morton v Ross Co… | 4-0 |
| Apr 18 | Morton v Queen's… | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | Morton v Raith R… | 3-2 |
| Apr 04 | Morton v Dunferm… | 3-1 |
| Mar 28 | Morton v Arbroath | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Morton v Ayr Utd | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Morton v Partick | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Morton v ST John… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 07, 2026 | Morton | 0-2 | ST Johnstone |
| Dec 20, 2025 | ST Johnstone | 5-0 | Morton |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Morton | 0-4 | ST Johnstone |
| Aug 30, 2025 | ST Johnstone | 1-1 | Morton |
| Jul 20, 2024 | ST Johnstone | 2-0 | Morton |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
ST Johnstone in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.