League Cup · Jul 18, 2026 14:00
East Kilbride PWR 40
Dumbarton PWR 37
East Kilbride PWR 40
2-1
predicted
Dumbarton PWR 37
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 1.7/g, expected 3.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: East Kilbride to win (93% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
93%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
70Attack30
20Defense40
Goals/G
2.00.9
Conc/G
2.31.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
East Kilbride
WWWDD
UP
Dumbarton
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
East Kilbridevs
0.20
DumbartonGoal Probability
East Kilbri…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Dumbarton
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#31
East Kilbri…-5
Gap#26
Dumbarton
WR 29% 8 pts
WR 43% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 8 |
| Dumbarton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 10 |
East Kilbride
16.0%
| Jul 11 | East Ki… v Dunferm… | 3-0 |
| Jun 27 | East Ki… v Kelty H… | 4-0 |
| May 02 | East Ki… v Clyde | 3-0 |
| Apr 25 | East Ki… v Dumbart… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | East Ki… v Edinbur… | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | East Ki… v Forfar … | 1-0 |
| Apr 04 | East Ki… v Annan A… | 2-1 |
| Mar 28 | East Ki… v Spartans | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | East Ki… v Stirlin… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | East Ki… v Stranra… | 2-1 |
Dumbarton
2.0%
| Jul 11 | Dumbart… v St. Mir… | 0-4 |
| Jun 30 | Dumbart… v Ayr Utd | 2-0 |
| Jun 20 | Dumbart… v Linlith… | 4-3 |
| May 02 | Dumbart… v Edinbur… | 4-0 |
| Apr 25 | Dumbart… v East Ki… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Dumbart… v Clyde | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | Dumbart… v Stirlin… | 2-1 |
| Apr 04 | Dumbart… v Stranra… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Dumbart… v Forfar … | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Dumbart… v Annan A… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dumbarton | 0-0 | East Kilbride |
| Feb 21, 2026 | East Kilbride | 3-1 | Dumbarton |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Dumbarton | 2-0 | East Kilbride |
| Sep 20, 2025 | East Kilbride | 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Dumbarton | 1-1 | East Kilbride |
| Jun 22, 2021 | East Kilbride | 2-1 | Dumbarton |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
East Kilbride in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dumbarton struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.