Back Stats
Campeonato Paulista Segunda Divisão · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
Uniao Mogi PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Itaquá Athletico … PWR 35
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Uniao Mogi WLWWD
STABLE
Itaquá Athleti… WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Uniao Mogi
vs
1.59
Itaquá Athleti…
Goal Probability
Uniao Mogi
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Itaquá Athl…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)0-3 (8%)1-3 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 84% 16% OVER
2.5 64% 36% -
3.5 42% 58% -
4.5 24% 76% UNDER
5.5 12% 88% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#4
Uniao Mogi
-3
Gap
#1
Itaquá Athl…
WR 50% 11 pts WR 75% 22 pts
Uniao Mogi 14.0%
Jul 04 Uniao M… v Maua 0-3
Jun 27 Uniao M… v Maua 2-3
Jun 20 Uniao M… v Itaquá … 2-1
Jun 13 Uniao M… v Mauaense 0-1
Jun 06 Uniao M… v Maua 0-0
May 31 Uniao M… v Manthiq… 1-0
May 23 Uniao M… v Barcelo… 2-3
May 17 Uniao M… v Itaquá … 4-1
May 10 Uniao M… v Mauaense 0-1
May 03 Uniao M… v Maua 2-3
Itaquá Athleti… 16.0%
Jul 04 Itaquá … v Paulíni… 3-0
Jun 28 Itaquá … v Paulíni… 1-3
Jun 20 Itaquá … v Uniao M… 2-1
Jun 14 Itaquá … v Maua 5-1
Jun 06 Itaquá … v Manthiq… 0-2
May 31 Itaquá … v Barcelo… 1-0
May 23 Itaquá … v Mauaense 1-2
May 17 Itaquá … v Uniao M… 4-1
May 09 Itaquá … v Maua 1-1
May 03 Itaquá … v Manthiq… 2-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Jun 20, 2026 Uniao Mogi 2-1 Itaquá Athlet…
May 17, 2026 Itaquá Athlet… 4-1 Uniao Mogi
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Uniao Mogi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Itaquá Athletico Clube in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.