Campeonato Paulista Segunda DivisĂŁo · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
Matonense
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Flamengo SP
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Matonense to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Matonense
DWWWD
STABLE
Flamengo SP
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Matonensevs
0.44
Flamengo SPGoal Probability
Matonense
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Flamengo SP
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Matonense-1
Gap#1
Flamengo SP
WR 50% 16 pts
WR 25% 17 pts
Matonense
16.0%
| Jul 04 | Matonen… v Assisen… | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | Matonen… v Assisen… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Matonen… v Mogi Mi… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Matonen… v Grêmio … | 0-13 |
| Jun 07 | Matonen… v São Car… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Matonen… v Santacr… | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Matonen… v Indepen… | 0-2 |
| May 16 | Matonen… v Mogi Mi… | 1-3 |
| May 09 | Matonen… v Grêmio … | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Matonen… v São Car… | 0-2 |
Flamengo SP
18.0%
| Jul 04 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 0-0 |
| Jun 20 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 0-1 |
| Jun 13 | Flameng… v PaulĂni… | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Flameng… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| May 31 | Flameng… v Guarulh… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Flameng… v Votoraty | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Flameng… v PaulĂni… | 2-2 |
| May 02 | Flameng… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Matonense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Flamengo SP in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.