Back Stats
Campeonato Paulista Segunda DivisĂŁo · Jul 12, 2026 13:00
Sporting Paulinen… PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Independente SP PWR 35
51% 24% 25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (14%)0-1 (12%)0-3 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting Pauli… WWWWL
UP
Independente SP WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Sporting Pauli…
vs
2.36
Independente SP
Goal Probability
Sporting Pa…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Independent…
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (14%)0-1 (12%)0-3 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 6% OVER
1.5 79% 22% OVER
2.5 55% 45% -
3.5 33% 67% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#4
Sporting Pa…
-3
Gap
#1
Independent…
WR 50% 9 pts WR 100% 21 pts
Sporting Pauli… 16.0%
Jul 05 Sportin… v São Car… 2-0
Jun 27 Sportin… v São Car… 0-1
Jun 20 Sportin… v Guarulh… 1-2
Jun 14 Sportin… v Gremio … 1-0
Jun 07 Sportin… v Flameng… 0-1
May 30 Sportin… v Votoraty 1-2
May 24 Sportin… v Paulíni… 1-0
May 17 Sportin… v Guarulh… 1-7
May 08 Sportin… v Gremio … 2-0
May 02 Sportin… v Flameng… 1-0
Independente SP 12.0%
Jul 05 Indepen… v Tupa 2-0
Jun 28 Indepen… v Tupa 0-2
Jun 20 Indepen… v Grêmio … 17-0
Jun 13 Indepen… v São Car… 2-0
Jun 07 Indepen… v Santacr… 0-1
May 30 Indepen… v Mogi Mi… 4-1
May 24 Indepen… v Matonen… 0-2
May 17 Indepen… v Grêmio … 0-4
May 10 Indepen… v São Car… 2-1
May 03 Indepen… v Santacr… 2-5
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting Paulinense in strong form (4W in last 5)
Independente SP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.