Campeonato Paulista Segunda DivisĂŁo · Jul 18, 2026 20:00
Independente SP
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Sporting Paulinen…
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Independente SP to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
Tier
MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (10%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Independente SP
WWWLL
UP
Sporting Pauli…
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
4.02
Independente SPvs
0.33
Sporting Pauli…Goal Probability
Independent…
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
19%
4
20%
Sporting Pa…
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Independent…+3
Gap#4
Sporting Pa…
WR 75% 21 pts
WR 25% 9 pts
Independente SP
12.0%
| Jul 05 | Indepen… v Tupa | 2-0 |
| Jun 28 | Indepen… v Tupa | 0-2 |
| Jun 20 | Indepen… v Grêmio … | 17-0 |
| Jun 13 | Indepen… v São Car… | 2-0 |
| Jun 07 | Indepen… v Santacr… | 0-1 |
| May 30 | Indepen… v Mogi Mi… | 4-1 |
| May 24 | Indepen… v Matonen… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Indepen… v Grêmio … | 0-4 |
| May 10 | Indepen… v São Car… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Indepen… v Santacr… | 2-5 |
Sporting Pauli…
16.0%
| Jul 05 | Sportin… v São Car… | 2-0 |
| Jun 27 | Sportin… v São Car… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Sportin… v Guarulh… | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Sportin… v Gremio … | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Sportin… v Flameng… | 0-1 |
| May 30 | Sportin… v Votoraty | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Sportin… v PaulĂni… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Sportin… v Guarulh… | 1-7 |
| May 08 | Sportin… v Gremio … | 2-0 |
| May 02 | Sportin… v Flameng… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Independente SP in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sporting Paulinense in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.