Campeonato Paulista Segunda Divisão · Jul 18, 2026 20:00
Itaquá Athletico …
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Uniao Mogi
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Itaquá Athletico Clube to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (16%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Itaquá Athleti…
WWLWW
STABLE
Uniao Mogi
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Itaquá Athleti…vs
0.35
Uniao MogiGoal Probability
Itaquá Athl…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Uniao Mogi
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Itaquá Athl…+3
Gap#4
Uniao Mogi
WR 100% 22 pts
WR 25% 11 pts
Itaquá Athleti…
16.0%
| Jul 04 | Itaquá … v PaulÃni… | 3-0 |
| Jun 28 | Itaquá … v PaulÃni… | 1-3 |
| Jun 20 | Itaquá … v Uniao M… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Itaquá … v Maua | 5-1 |
| Jun 06 | Itaquá … v Manthiq… | 0-2 |
| May 31 | Itaquá … v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Itaquá … v Mauaense | 1-2 |
| May 17 | Itaquá … v Uniao M… | 4-1 |
| May 09 | Itaquá … v Maua | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Itaquá … v Manthiq… | 2-0 |
Uniao Mogi
14.0%
| Jul 04 | Uniao M… v Maua | 0-3 |
| Jun 27 | Uniao M… v Maua | 2-3 |
| Jun 20 | Uniao M… v Itaquá … | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Uniao M… v Mauaense | 0-1 |
| Jun 06 | Uniao M… v Maua | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Uniao M… v Manthiq… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Uniao M… v Barcelo… | 2-3 |
| May 17 | Uniao M… v Itaquá … | 4-1 |
| May 10 | Uniao M… v Mauaense | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Uniao M… v Maua | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uniao Mogi | 2-1 | Itaquá Athlet… |
| May 17, 2026 | Itaquá Athlet… | 4-1 | Uniao Mogi |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
77%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Itaquá Athletico Clube in strong form (4W in last 5)
Uniao Mogi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.