Campeonato Paulista Segunda DivisĂŁo · Jul 18, 2026 20:00
Flamengo SP
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Matonense
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Flamengo SP to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (21%)0-0 (15%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Flamengo SP
WDWWW
STABLE
Matonense
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Flamengo SPvs
1.39
MatonenseGoal Probability
Flamengo SP
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Matonense
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Flamengo SP+1
Gap#2
Matonense
WR 100% 17 pts
WR 75% 16 pts
Flamengo SP
18.0%
| Jul 04 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 0-0 |
| Jun 20 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 0-1 |
| Jun 13 | Flameng… v PaulĂni… | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Flameng… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| May 31 | Flameng… v Guarulh… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Flameng… v Votoraty | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Flameng… v Gremio … | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Flameng… v PaulĂni… | 2-2 |
| May 02 | Flameng… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
Matonense
16.0%
| Jul 04 | Matonen… v Assisen… | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | Matonen… v Assisen… | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Matonen… v Mogi Mi… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Matonen… v Grêmio … | 0-13 |
| Jun 07 | Matonen… v São Car… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Matonen… v Santacr… | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Matonen… v Indepen… | 0-2 |
| May 16 | Matonen… v Mogi Mi… | 1-3 |
| May 09 | Matonen… v Grêmio … | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Matonen… v São Car… | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Flamengo SP in strong form (4W in last 5)
Matonense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.