Cup · Jul 11, 2026 15:00
Auda PWR 65
FK Liepaja PWR 35
Auda PWR 65
4-1
predicted
FK Liepaja PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.4/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Auda Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (23%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.92x
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
70Attack49
59Defense16
Goals/G
2.01.4
Conc/G
1.22.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Auda
DLDWL
STABLE
FK Liepaja
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Audavs
0.28
FK LiepajaGoal Probability
Auda
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
FK Liepaja
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Auda+16
Gap#22
FK Liepaja
WR 67% 12 pts
WR 40% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| FK Liepaja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Auda
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Auda v RÄ«gas FS | 1-1 |
| Jun 29 | Auda v Riga FC | 0-2 |
| Jun 25 | Auda v Grobiņa | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Auda v Super N… | 0-2 |
| Jun 17 | Auda v Tukums | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Auda v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| May 30 | Auda v Ogre Un… | 2-0 |
| May 26 | Auda v BFC Dau… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Auda v FK Liep… | 3-1 |
| May 17 | Auda v RÄ«gas FS | 0-3 |
FK Liepaja
4.0%
| Jul 09 | FK Liep… v Dečić | 1-0 |
| Jul 04 | FK Liep… v BFC Dau… | 3-1 |
| Jun 30 | FK Liep… v Ogre Un… | 4-0 |
| Jun 26 | FK Liep… v Rīgas FS | 0-2 |
| Jun 21 | FK Liep… v Riga FC | 4-0 |
| Jun 16 | FK Liep… v Grobiņa | 1-0 |
| Jun 12 | FK Liep… v Super N… | 2-1 |
| May 30 | FK Liep… v Tukums | 3-0 |
| May 26 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| May 22 | FK Liep… v Auda | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 22, 2026 | Auda | 3-1 | FK Liepaja |
| Apr 08, 2026 | FK Liepaja | 1-2 | Auda |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Auda | 1-2 | FK Liepaja |
| Jul 27, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 2-0 | Auda |
| May 24, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 0-0 | Auda |
| Apr 09, 2025 | Auda | 3-0 | FK Liepaja |
| Oct 05, 2024 | FK Liepaja | 2-1 | Auda |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Auda | 3-0 | FK Liepaja |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Auda | 2-0 | FK Liepaja |
| May 19, 2024 | Auda | 1-1 | FK Liepaja |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Liepaja struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.