Cup · Jul 12, 2026 15:00
Valmiera / BSS PWR 74
Valmiera / BSS PWR 74
6-2
predicted
Ogre United
PWR 29
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Yes
BTTS · Both score (3.0 & 2.0/g) and concede (1.5 & 2.5/g)
83%
accuracy
1.65x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Valmiera / BSS Win
Score
6-2
Confidence
69%
Tier
Value Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
100Attack70
48Defense13
Goals/G
3.02.0
Conc/G
1.52.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Valmiera / BSS
WWWWW
UP
Ogre United
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy78%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHPREMIUM with draw risk (22%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Valmiera / BSSvs
0.26
Ogre UnitedGoal Probability
Valmiera / …
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Ogre United
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)4-0 (10%)5-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Valmiera / …+31
Gap#42
Ogre United
WR 75% 10 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valmiera / BSS | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| Ogre United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Valmiera / BSS
20.0%
| Jul 05 | Valmier… v Leevon … | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Valmier… v JFK Ven… | 0-2 |
| Jun 22 | Valmier… v Smiltene | 1-4 |
| Jun 14 | Valmier… v Tukums … | 1-4 |
| May 30 | Valmier… v Skanste | 2-0 |
| May 26 | Valmier… v Super N… | 0-0 |
| May 16 | Valmier… v Riga Ma… | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Valmier… v JDFS Al… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Valmier… v Metta /… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Valmier… v Rēzekne… | 3-1 |
Ogre United
12.0%
| Jul 06 | Ogre Un… v Super N… | 1-2 |
| Jun 30 | Ogre Un… v FK Liep… | 4-0 |
| Jun 26 | Ogre Un… v Tukums | 3-2 |
| Jun 22 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas FS | 6-0 |
| Jun 17 | Ogre Un… v FS Jelg… | 0-2 |
| Jun 13 | Ogre Un… v Riga FC | 1-4 |
| May 30 | Ogre Un… v Auda | 2-0 |
| May 25 | Ogre Un… v Grobiņa | 1-1 |
| May 21 | Ogre Un… v BFC Dau… | 3-1 |
| May 16 | Ogre Un… v Super N… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 31, 2025 | Valmiera / BSS | 4-3 | Ogre United |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Valmiera / BSS in strong form (5W in last 5)
Ogre United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.