Cup · Jul 12, 2026 16:00
RÄ«gas FS PWR 78
FS Jelgava PWR 17
RÄ«gas FS PWR 78
4-1
predicted
FS Jelgava PWR 17
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.4/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
RÄ«gas FS Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
73%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
85Attack35
65Defense13
Goals/G
2.41.0
Conc/G
1.02.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
RÄ«gas FS
WDWWW
STABLE
FS Jelgava
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy82%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AH✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 73% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
RÄ«gas FSvs
0.39
FS JelgavaGoal Probability
RÄ«gas FS
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
FS Jelgava
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
RÄ«gas FS+46
Gap#48
FS Jelgava
WR 86% 18 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RÄ«gas FS | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| FS Jelgava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
RÄ«gas FS
18.0%
| Jul 09 | Rīgas FS v Glentor… | 1-2 |
| Jul 04 | RÄ«gas FS v Auda | 1-1 |
| Jun 30 | Rīgas FS v BFC Dau… | 3-1 |
| Jun 26 | Rīgas FS v FK Liep… | 0-2 |
| Jun 22 | Rīgas FS v Ogre Un… | 6-0 |
| Jun 17 | RÄ«gas FS v Riga FC | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Rīgas FS v Grobiņa | 1-3 |
| May 29 | Rīgas FS v Super N… | 1-2 |
| May 25 | RÄ«gas FS v Tukums | 3-1 |
| May 21 | Rīgas FS v FS Jelg… | 4-0 |
FS Jelgava
12.0%
| Jul 03 | FS Jelg… v Riga FC | 3-0 |
| Jun 29 | FS Jelg… v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| Jun 25 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-5 |
| Jun 21 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 4-1 |
| Jun 17 | FS Jelg… v Ogre Un… | 0-2 |
| Jun 13 | FS Jelg… v Auda | 1-1 |
| May 31 | FS Jelg… v BFC Dau… | 1-1 |
| May 26 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 1-1 |
| May 21 | FS Jelg… v Rīgas FS | 4-0 |
| May 16 | FS Jelg… v Riga FC | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 21, 2026 | RÄ«gas FS | 4-0 | FS Jelgava |
| Apr 08, 2026 | FS Jelgava | 0-1 | RÄ«gas FS |
| Sep 13, 2025 | RÄ«gas FS | 1-4 | FS Jelgava |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 0-1 | RÄ«gas FS |
| Jun 26, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 0-1 | RÄ«gas FS |
| May 05, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 2-2 | RÄ«gas FS |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RÄ«gas FS | 1-0 | FS Jelgava |
| Sep 30, 2024 | FS Jelgava | 0-2 | RÄ«gas FS |
| Jul 05, 2024 | RÄ«gas FS | 7-0 | FS Jelgava |
| May 15, 2024 | FS Jelgava | 1-2 | RÄ«gas FS |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
RÄ«gas FS in strong form (4W in last 5)
FS Jelgava in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.