UEFA Europa League · Jul 16, 2026 18:00
Aluminij PWR 35
Sheriff Tiraspol PWR 36
Aluminij PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Sheriff Tiraspol PWR 36
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 70% home + 21% draw = 90% combined
92%
accuracy
1.16x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Aluminij to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (61%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.16x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.46x
Over 2.5
1%
Under 2.5
99%
99%
BTTS
No
No 5%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack49
100Defense37
Goals/G
0.01.4
Conc/G
0.01.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aluminij
DLLDL
STABLE
Sheriff Tirasp…
DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Aluminijvs
0.20
Sheriff Tirasp…Goal Probability
Aluminij
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Sheriff Tir…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)0-1 (26%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#89
Aluminij-22
Gap#67
Sheriff Tir…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 20% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminij | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sheriff Tiras… | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Aluminij
4.0%
| Jul 09 | Aluminij v Sheriff… | 0-0 |
| Jul 02 | Aluminij v FK Part… | 1-2 |
| Jun 28 | Aluminij v Artsakh | 0-2 |
| Jun 19 | Aluminij v RaÄŤe | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Aluminij v Maribor | 3-0 |
| May 16 | Aluminij v Primorje | 0-0 |
| May 13 | Aluminij v Brinje-… | 0-1 |
| May 09 | Aluminij v Koper | 1-0 |
| Apr 26 | Aluminij v Celje | 5-0 |
| Apr 23 | Aluminij v Bravo | 0-1 |
Sheriff Tirasp…
14.0%
| Jul 09 | Sheriff… v Aluminij | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Sheriff… v Politeh… | 0-0 |
| Jun 28 | Sheriff… v Sireți | 3-0 |
| May 23 | Sheriff… v Zimbru | 2-0 |
| May 17 | Sheriff… v Milsami… | 0-0 |
| May 13 | Sheriff… v Petrocub | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Sheriff… v Zimbru | 1-0 |
| May 06 | Sheriff… v Petrocub | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Sheriff… v Dacia-B… | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Sheriff… v Petrocub | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Sheriff Tiras… | 0-0 | Aluminij |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
71%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aluminij struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.