UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 16:00
Paide PWR 27
Hegelmann Litauen PWR 23
Paide PWR 27
2-1
predicted
Hegelmann Litauen PWR 23
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Paide to win (85% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
85%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
44Attack18
13Defense48
Goals/G
1.30.5
Conc/G
2.51.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Paide
DWDWW
STABLE
Hegelmann Lita…
DDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Paidevs
0.84
Hegelmann Lita…Goal Probability
Paide
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Hegelmann L…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#94
Paide+58
Gap#152
Hegelmann L…
WR 25% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| Hegelmann Lit… | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Paide
16.0%
| Jul 09 | Paide v Hegelma… | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Paide v Vaprus | 3-1 |
| Jun 28 | Paide v Kalju N… | 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Paide v Flora T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 17 | Paide v Laagri | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | Paide v Kalju N… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Paide v Kuressa… | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Paide v Flora T… | 1-5 |
| May 20 | Paide v Trans N… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Paide v FC Leva… | 1-3 |
Hegelmann Lita…
8.0%
| Jul 09 | Hegelma… v Paide | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 1-1 |
| Jun 28 | Hegelma… v Banga | 2-0 |
| Jun 17 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 1-1 |
| Jun 14 | Hegelma… v Kauno Ž… | 1-1 |
| May 29 | Hegelma… v TransIN… | 2-1 |
| May 24 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 1-3 |
| May 20 | Hegelma… v TransIN… | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Hegelma… v Sūduva … | 2-2 |
| May 09 | Hegelma… v Šiauliai | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Hegelmann Lit… | 1-1 | Paide |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Paide in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.