UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 16:00
Ilves PWR 7
FC Differdange 03 PWR 50
Ilves PWR 7
2-1
predicted
FC Differdange 03 PWR 50
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Ilves to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
8Attack40
13Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
2.51.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
1.00.0
Ilves
DLLDL
STABLE
FC Differdange…
DWWLW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Ilves
FC Differda…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Tatu Miettunen | Def | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Faris Krkalić | Goa | 6.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Matias Rale | Def | 6.82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jesse Kilo | Mid | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Anton Popovitch | Mid | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Teemu Hytönen | For | 6.56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jardell Kanga | Mid | 6.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ville Kumpu | Def | 6.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Kalle Wallius | Mid | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Otto Tiitinen | Mid | 6.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Oliver Pettersson | Def | 6.07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | André Raymond | Def | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Stanislav Baranov | Mid | -0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Roope Riski | For | -0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Rasmus Leislahti | Goa | -0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Yiandro Raap | Def | -0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Joona Veteli | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Ilvesvs
0.80
FC Differdange…Goal Probability
Ilves
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
FC Differda…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#157
Ilves-124
Gap#33
FC Differda…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 43% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| FC Differdang… | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
Ilves
4.0%
| Jul 08 | Ilves v FC Diff… | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Ilves v FF Jaro | 2-1 |
| Jul 01 | Ilves v HJK Hel… | 2-1 |
| Jun 27 | Ilves v SJK Sei… | 2-2 |
| Jun 23 | Ilves v KuPS | 4-3 |
| Jun 17 | Ilves v FF Jaro | 5-0 |
| Jun 13 | Ilves v Turku PS | 1-0 |
| Jun 10 | Ilves v FC Lahti | 5-2 |
| May 30 | Ilves v FC Lahti | 5-0 |
| May 27 | Ilves v Turku PS | 1-0 |
FC Differdange…
14.0%
| Jul 08 | FC Diff… v Ilves | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | FC Diff… v Metz | 1-2 |
| May 29 | FC Diff… v Victori… | 4-1 |
| May 23 | FC Diff… v Atert B… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | FC Diff… v UN Kaer… | 2-0 |
| May 13 | FC Diff… v Rodange… | 1-1 |
| May 08 | FC Diff… v Progrès… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | FC Diff… v UNA Str… | 0-0 |
| Apr 26 | FC Diff… v Union T… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | FC Diff… v Racing … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 08, 2026 | FC Differdang… | 0-0 | Ilves |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
24%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Differdange 03 in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ilves struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.