UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 16:00
Pyunik Yerevan PWR 79
Marsaxlokk PWR 54
Pyunik Yerevan PWR 79
2-1
predicted
Marsaxlokk PWR 54
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.8/g, Away concedes 3.0/g, expected 3.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Pyunik Yerevan to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
96Attack53
65Defense51
Goals/G
2.81.5
Conc/G
1.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pyunik Yerevan
WWDWW
STABLE
Marsaxlokk
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Pyunik Yerevanvs
0.54
MarsaxlokkGoal Probability
Pyunik Yere…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Marsaxlokk
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#37
Pyunik Yere…+143
Gap#180
Marsaxlokk
WR 75% 9 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyunik Yerevan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
| Marsaxlokk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Pyunik Yerevan
18.0%
| Jul 09 | Pyunik … v Marsaxl… | 0-3 |
| May 27 | Pyunik … v Van | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Pyunik … v Artsakh | 0-0 |
| May 18 | Pyunik … v Gandzas… | 0-2 |
| May 09 | Pyunik … v BKMA | 2-0 |
| May 06 | Pyunik … v Ararat-… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Pyunik … v Artsakh | 0-0 |
| Apr 23 | Pyunik … v Banants… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Pyunik … v Ararat | 1-0 |
| Apr 11 | Pyunik … v Ararat-… | 0-2 |
Marsaxlokk
16.0%
| Jul 09 | Marsaxl… v Pyunik … | 0-3 |
| May 16 | Marsaxl… v Floriana | 0-1 |
| May 09 | Marsaxl… v Hamrun … | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Marsaxl… v Naxxar … | 3-2 |
| Apr 26 | Marsaxl… v Vallett… | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Marsaxl… v Gżira U… | 2-1 |
| Apr 15 | Marsaxl… v Floriana | 1-3 |
| Apr 11 | Marsaxl… v Hamrun … | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Marsaxl… v Vallett… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Marsaxl… v Naxxar … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Marsaxlokk | 0-3 | Pyunik Yerevan |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pyunik Yerevan in strong form (4W in last 5)
Marsaxlokk in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.