UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 16:30
FC Levadia PWR 65
Caernarfon Town PWR 53
FC Levadia PWR 65
2-1
predicted
Caernarfon Town PWR 53
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.4/g, Away concedes 5.0/g, expected 4.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: FC Levadia to win (90% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
90%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)1-1 (10%)0-3 (7%)1-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
84Attack56
51Defense44
Goals/G
2.41.6
Conc/G
1.41.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Levadia
WWLDW
STABLE
Caernarfon Town
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
FC Levadiavs
2.01
Caernarfon TownGoal Probability
FC Levadia
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Caernarfon …
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#28
FC Levadia+159
Gap#187
Caernarfon …
WR 60% 10 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| Caernarfon To… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
FC Levadia
14.0%
| Jul 09 | FC Leva… v Caernar… | 0-5 |
| Jul 04 | FC Leva… v Trans N… | 1-3 |
| Jun 28 | FC Leva… v Flora T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 20 | FC Leva… v Kalju N… | 1-1 |
| Jun 17 | FC Leva… v Nõmme U… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | FC Leva… v Flora T… | 1-3 |
| May 30 | FC Leva… v Tammeka | 0-1 |
| May 24 | FC Leva… v Vaprus | 1-6 |
| May 17 | FC Leva… v Paide | 1-3 |
| May 09 | FC Leva… v Laagri | 3-0 |
Caernarfon Town
16.0%
| Jul 09 | Caernar… v FC Leva… | 0-5 |
| Jun 20 | Caernar… v Glentor… | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Caernar… v Penybont | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Caernar… v Flint T… | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 0-2 |
| Mar 27 | Caernar… v The New… | 0-4 |
| Mar 21 | Caernar… v Barry T… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Caernarfon To… | 0-5 | FC Levadia |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
FC Levadia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Caernarfon Town in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.