UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 17:00
FK Zalgiris Vilni… PWR 45
Petrovac PWR 41
FK Zalgiris Vilni… PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Petrovac PWR 41
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win (85% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
85%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
35Attack47
65Defense42
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
1.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Zalgiris Vi…
WWDLW
STABLE
Petrovac
LDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
FK Zalgiris Vi…vs
0.67
PetrovacGoal Probability
FK Zalgiris…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Petrovac
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#85
FK Zalgiris…+23
Gap#108
Petrovac
WR 33% 4 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris V… | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Petrovac | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
FK Zalgiris Vi…
14.0%
| Jul 09 | FK Zalg… v Petrovac | 1-3 |
| Jul 05 | FK Zalg… v Šiauliai | 0-3 |
| Jun 28 | FK Zalg… v Džiugas… | 0-0 |
| Jun 20 | FK Zalg… v Banga | 3-0 |
| Jun 16 | FK Zalg… v Panevėž… | 3-0 |
| Jun 12 | FK Zalg… v FK Trak… | 3-2 |
| May 31 | FK Zalg… v Kauno Ž… | 0-1 |
| May 24 | FK Zalg… v Hegelma… | 1-3 |
| May 17 | FK Zalg… v TransIN… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | FK Zalg… v Sūduva … | 1-1 |
Petrovac
10.0%
| Jul 09 | Petrovac v FK Zalg… | 1-3 |
| Jun 27 | Petrovac v Macva | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Petrovac v Buducno… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Petrovac v Mornar | 1-1 |
| May 16 | Petrovac v Jedinst… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Petrovac v Mladost… | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Petrovac v Dečić | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Petrovac v Arsenal… | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Petrovac v Sutjeska | 0-1 |
| Apr 12 | Petrovac v Jezero | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Petrovac | 1-3 | FK Zalgiris V… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Zalgiris Vilnius in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.