UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 17:00
Dinamo Tbilisi PWR 77
US Mondorf-les-ba… PWR 23
Dinamo Tbilisi PWR 77
2-0
predicted
US Mondorf-les-ba… PWR 23
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Dinamo Tbilisi to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-0
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
WDLWW
STABLE
US Mondorf-les…
LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Dinamo Tbilisivs
0.67
US Mondorf-les…Goal Probability
Dinamo Tbil…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
US Mondorf-…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#101
Dinamo Tbil…+64
Gap#165
US Mondorf-…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| US Mondorf-le… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Dinamo Tbilisi
14.0%
| Jul 09 | Dinamo … v US Mond… | 1-2 |
| Jul 01 | Dinamo … v Dila | 0-0 |
| Jun 27 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Dinamo … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Dinamo … v Samgura… | 5-3 |
| Jun 14 | Dinamo … v Gagra | 2-1 |
| May 30 | Dinamo … v Meshakh… | 1-6 |
| May 24 | Dinamo … v Torpedo… | 0-1 |
| May 20 | Dinamo … v Dila | 0-0 |
| May 16 | Dinamo … v Saburta… | 2-0 |
US Mondorf-les…
6.0%
| Jul 09 | US Mond… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Jul 03 | US Mond… v Metz | 5-2 |
| May 23 | US Mond… v UNA Str… | 0-0 |
| May 17 | US Mond… v Union T… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | US Mond… v Victori… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | US Mond… v Swift H… | 1-0 |
| Apr 26 | US Mond… v US Host… | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | US Mond… v F91 Dud… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | US Mond… v AS Jeun… | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | US Mond… v FC Diff… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2026 | US Mondorf-le… | 1-2 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dinamo Tbilisi in strong form (3W in last 5)
US Mondorf-les-bains struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.