UEFA Europa Conference League · Jul 16, 2026 17:00
FC Santa Coloma PWR 48
Penybont PWR 26
FC Santa Coloma PWR 48
1-0
predicted
Penybont PWR 26
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: FC Santa Coloma to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
41Attack18
53Defense56
Goals/G
1.20.5
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Santa Coloma
WLLLD
STABLE
Penybont
LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
FC Santa Colomavs
0.22
PenybontGoal Probability
FC Santa Co…
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Penybont
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#36
FC Santa Co…+89
Gap#125
Penybont
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Santa Colo… | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Penybont | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
FC Santa Coloma
6.0%
| Jul 09 | FC Sant… v Penybont | 0-1 |
| May 16 | FC Sant… v Ranger's | 2-0 |
| May 10 | FC Sant… v Ordino | 0-1 |
| Apr 30 | FC Sant… v Inter C… | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | FC Sant… v UE Sant… | 0-0 |
| Apr 19 | FC Sant… v Esperan… | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | FC Sant… v Penya E… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | FC Sant… v Ranger's | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Sant… v Inter C… | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | FC Sant… v Carroi | 0-2 |
Penybont
2.0%
| Jul 09 | Penybont v FC Sant… | 0-1 |
| May 02 | Penybont v Haverfo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Penybont v Caernar… | 2-0 |
| Apr 03 | Penybont v Barry T… | 0-2 |
| Mar 28 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Penybont v The New… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Penybont v Barry T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Penybont | 0-1 | FC Santa Colo… |
| Jul 20, 2023 | FC Santa Colo… | 2-0 | Penybont |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Penybont | 1-1 | FC Santa Colo… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Santa Coloma struggling (3L in last 5)
Penybont struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.